Traffic Warden

The Everest 2024 Tips: Trifecta Selections & Best Bets

Lucy Henderson October 17, 2024

The Everest 2024 Tips: Trifecta Selections & Best Bets

The countdown is on until Randwick Race 7 on Saturday when the eighth instalment of the now world-famous Group 1 $20 million The Everest race takes place, and below we have our insider 2024 The Everest betting tips.

Due to jump at 4:15pm (AEDT) this year’s The Everest (1200m) is set to be one of the most competitive yet with a gun field of 12-star sprinters ready to go.

It is an even affair with a host of form lines to consider and the markets at Ladbrokes.com.au have Chris Waller‘s versatile and still untapped mare Joliestar on top at $6 at time of publish.

So, will Waller get the top prize for a third time or is there an upset pending?

See below to see what The Everest contenders we’ll be backing to take out the world’s richest turf race this weekend!

To Win: #10 Traffic Warden ($7 at time of publish) – BET NOW

Trainer James Cummings is confident, and we are too, with this lovely Street Boss colt who can cement his name in The Everest history books as the third three-year-old to climb to the top of the world’s richest turf race.

Drew a treat in gate two which only saw Cummings sing him further praises.

Well-conditioned with plenty of tough 1400m runs including a Group 1 Golden Rose second last time out when narrowly denied by stablemate Broadsiding.

Back to 1200m will suit and he won the Group 2 Run to the Rose in a blistering late burst fresh.

He’s third-up now and has been set specifically for this race. Can win.

The Danger: #1 I Wish I Win ($6.50 at time of publish) – BET NOW

Peter Moody & Katherine Coleman’s six-year-old son of Savabeel will don the No. 1 saddlecloth in The Everest field and it would surprise us little if he ended up with the No. 1 spot in the official finishing order.

Third-up and ready to fire with a lovely record at the track and distance, plus the devastatingly close 2nd in 2023 that he will be keen to atone for.

He will relish the sting out of the track getting conditions to suit perfectly.

Going as good as ever, he’s a class horse and a three-time Group 1 champion.

Gets the right gate with room from nine this year for Luke Nolen after barrier one saw him narrowly come undone behind Think About It 12 months ago.

He does face a field full of gun youngsters that have been set for this but he’s the seasoned professional with plenty to prove.

Each Way: #4 Bella Nipotina ($9 at time of publish) – BET NOW

The mares might not have finished better than fourth in an Everest to date, but it is a rock-solid contingent of female gallopers taking on the boys this year including Ciaron Maher’s bonny seven-year-old Bella Nipotina who continues to show a zest for racing (and winning!).

This daughter of Pride Of Dubai is a multiple Group 1 winner coming via back-to-back placings in the Group 3 Concorde and Group 2 Premiere Stakes.

She probably should have won the Group 2 last time out and gets her chance to make it up to her fans now on the big stage.

She’s tough and she’s talented, and any rain around between now and The Everest jump will only boost her chances.

The only con is that outside barrier 12 which does make it a little harder.

Best Roughie: #5 I Am Me ($17 at time of publish) – BET NOW

Bella’s stablemate and one of three in The Everest field for Maher, this rails-drawn mare is chasing a hat-trick.

The consistent I Am Invincible six-year-old is fit and firing on all cylinders ready to get the job done again flying under the radar in the markets despite her outstanding performances this prep.

She is a genuine Randwick specialist with four wins form five starts at the track.

Comes off the Concorde – The Shorts winning double with the latter especially a good guide historically to The Everest results.

She won’t get a better chance than this.

Has winning form over some of the better supported and ready for the 1200m now.

Only concern would be if the track is wet.

The Everest 2024 Odds

The Everest (G1)
OpenJumps 1729314900
Runner DetailsWinPlace
1. I Wish I Win (9) J: Luke Nolen 58.5kg
T: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman
Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 5th of 9 at Moonee Valley in the G1 Moir Stks on September 7 over 1000m, 1.1 len behind Mornington Glory carrying 58.5kg at $4. Last start 3rd of 12 at Moonee Valley in the G1 Manikato on September 27 over 1200m, 2 len behind Southport Tycoon with 58.5kg at $5. Wide draw suits and unlucky not to win the race last year; genuine contender.
2. Giga Kick (3) J: Mark Zahra 58.5kg
T: Clayton Douglas
Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 5th of 12 at this track in the G3 Concorde on September 7 over 1000m, 3 len behind I Am Me with 60.5kg at $4.50. Second-up 4th of 7 at this track in the G2 Premiere on October 5 over 1200m, 1.0 len behind Airman with 58.5kg at $3. Won the race in 2022 and ready to peak today; value player.
3. Private Eye (10) J: Jay Ford 58.5kg
T: Joseph Pride
Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 4th of 12 at this track in the G3 Concorde on September 7 over 1000m, 2.75 len behind I Am Me carrying 59.5kg at $11. Second run from a spell from last on the turn 6th of 11 at this track in the G2 The Shorts on September 21 over 1100m, 1.5 len behind I Am Me with 57kg at $5. Place prospects look best again.
4. Bella Nipotina (12) J: Craig Williams 56.5kg
T: Ciaron Maher
Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up came from midfield; 2nd of 12 at this track in the G3 Concorde on September 7 over 1000m, head behind I Am Me carrying 58.5kg at $4. Second-up 3rd of 7 at this track in the G2 Premiere on October 5 over 1200m, neck behind Airman carrying 56.5kg at $2.40. Flying this prep and look for her charging late.
5. I Am Me (1) J: Nash Rawiller 56.5kg
T: Ciaron Maher
Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming favourite; won by a head at this track G3 Concorde September 7 over 1000m defeating Bella Nipotina carrying 57kg at $4.50. Second-up favourite; tracked the speed and boxed on steadily; won by a head at this track G2 The Shorts September 21 over 1100m defeating Stefi Magnetica carrying 55kg at $2.50. In career best form and will prove hard to run down.
6. Stefi Magnetica (6) J: Zac Lloyd 56.5kg
T: Bjorn Baker
Second-up. First-up after three months 2nd of 11 at this track in the G2 The Shorts on September 21 over 1100m, head behind I Am Me carrying 56kg at $9. Previously second-up came from midfield; 3rd of 18 at Eagle Farm in the G3 Fred Best on June 1 over 1400m, on a slow track; 1.5 len behind Roll On High carrying 55kg at $3.50. Kept fresh and hard to see her troubling some of these.
7. Sunshine In Paris (8) J: Tommy Berry 56.5kg
T: Annabel Neasham & Rob Archibald
Second-up. First-up after five months came from midfield and won by a neck at Rosehill G2 Sheraco September 14 over 1200m defeating Mumbai Muse carrying 58kg at $3.80. Previously second-up 5th of 13 at this track in the G1 T J Smith on April 6 over 1200m, on rain affected going; 0.7 len behind Chain Of Lightning carrying 56.5kg at $6.50. Clearly come back well and has a good turn of foot.
8. Joliestar (4) J: James McDonald 56.5kg
T: Chris Waller
Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming favourite; ran on from midfield and won by 3 len at this track G3 Show County August 24 over 1200m defeating Our Kobison carrying 55kg at $2.50. Second run from a spell 3rd of 7 at Rosehill in the G2 Sheraco on September 14 over 1200m, 2 len behind Sunshine In Paris with 58kg at $1.80. Capable of a better showing. Third up now with a recent trial and go on her Show County win when assessing her chances.
9. Growing Empire (7) J: Kerrin McEvoy 53kg
T: Ciaron Maher
Racing well. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 12 at Moonee Valley in the G1 Manikato on September 27 over 1200m, nose behind Southport Tycoon with 52kg at $3.80. The start before that favourite; tracked the speed and boxed on steadily; won by 1.3 len at Flemington LR Poseidon Stakes September 14 over 1100m in soft going defeating First Settler carrying 58.5kg at $2.10. Gone to a new level this prep and can play a leading role again.
10. Traffic Warden (2) J: Jamie Kah 53kg
T: James Cummings
Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming won by a nose at Rosehill G2 Run To Rose September 14 over 1200m defeating Anode carrying 57.5kg at $8. Second-up ran on from midfield; 2nd of 10 at Rosehill in the G1 Golden Rose on September 28 over 1400m, slow going nose behind Broadsiding with 56.5kg at $6.50. Maps well and has genuine winning prospects.
11. Storm Boy (5) J: Brenton Avdulla 53kg
T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
At the latest run 4th of 10 at Rosehill in the G1 Golden Rose on September 28 over 1400m, slow going 0.7 len behind Broadsiding carrying 56.5kg at $5. The run before that set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 9 at Rosehill in the G2 Run To Rose on September 14 over 1200m, 0.8 len behind Traffic Warden carrying 57.5kg at $1.90. Maps well and can take a hand in the finish.
12. Lady Of Camelot (11) J: Rachel King 51kg
T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 9 at Moonee Valley in the G1 Moir Stks on September 7 over 1000m, 0.8 len behind Mornington Glory with 50kg at $5. Second-up 7th of 11 at this track in the G2 The Shorts on September 21 over 1100m, 2.75 len behind I Am Me carrying 55kg at $13. Map looks ugly and others have her measure.
13. Overpass (13) J: Unknown 58.5kg
T: Bjorn Baker
Back after a long spell. Only had one start last campaign raced right near the speed and boxed on; won by 0.9 len at Ascot Quokka April 20 over 1200m defeating Amelia's Jewel with 58.5kg at $6. First up last campaign 2nd of 12 at this track in the G2 The Shorts on September 16 2023 over 1100m, head behind Private Eye carrying 57kg at $5. Won trial at Rosehill over 900m on October 4. Resumes and looks tested against this line-up.
14. Think About It (14) J: Unknown 58.5kg
T: Joseph Pride
Second-up. First-up after four months from last on the turn second last of 7 at this track in the G2 Premiere on October 5 over 1200m, 2.5 len behind Airman with 58.5kg at $4. Previously second-up 5th of 18 at Rosehill in the G1 Geo Ryder on March 23 over 1500m, 2 len behind Veight with 59kg at $4.50. Not keen on his chances.
15. Southport Tycoon (15) J: Unknown 58.5kg
T: Ciaron Maher
Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 5th of 12 at this track in the G3 Show County on August 24 over 1200m, 4 len behind Joliestar carrying 59kg at $8.50. Last start won by a nose at Moonee Valley G1 Manikato September 27 over 1200m defeating Growing Empire carrying 58.5kg at $21. Will need to do even more today.
16. Mazu (16) J: Unknown 58.5kg
T: Joseph Pride
Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 11 at this track in the G2 The Shorts on September 21 over 1100m, 0.8 len behind I Am Me carrying 56kg at $13. Second-up tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 7 at this track in the G2 Premiere on October 5 over 1200m, head behind Airman carrying 58.5kg at $7. Not keen on his chances this time.
Odds are subject to fluctuation. For current odds on all of our live racing markets, please visit ladbrokes.com.au.
Data retrieved: 18/10/2024 08:22 AM (Australia/Brisbane)

Race comments

BELLA NIPOTINA (4) tough mare who gets better with age. Conditions suit and like the way she attacked the line in the Concorde first up and when third over this track and trip in the G2 Premiere Stakes at latest. Craig Williams has a great record on her and she just needs luck early from the draw. GIGA KICK (2) won this race in 2022 and looks set to explode third up. Strong late in the Premiere and has trained on sharply since. Adept in all conditions and will relish the good tempo. JOLIESTAR (8) exciting mare who returned slick sectional times first up when winning the G3 Show County over this track in good style. Disappointed when third over this trip in the G2 Sheraco Stakes at Rosehill and since kept up to the mark with a 1000m tick over trial. J Mac rides and she ticks plenty of boxes from the draw. I AM ME (5) has gone to a new level this prep and is undefeated in two attempts over this track and trip. Maps to get every chance with Rawiller up and stays in the mix.

*All The Everest 2024 odds provided by Ladbrokes.com.au, correct at time of publication, and subject to change without notice.

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